Objectives of this blog:
1) Plan for my retirement.
2) Journal my way to financial freedom for my family and me in Singapore.
3) Share my financial knowledge and wealth management in an easy to understand way.
My current aim is to generate a passive income of $3000.
Monday, November 30, 2009
Vicious cycle of being lazy
If you are lazy, more likely you will be in the vicious cycle as shown above.
Spend more money for convenience
When you are lazy, you tend to spend more money for convenience. For example you may cab/taxi instead of bus/mrt, buying food nearby at a premium price for the sake of convenience.
Work more to earn more money
After spending unnecessary money, you may need to work more to earn more money to pay for your convenience.
Feeling tired after working long hours
Since you are working for long hours, you tend to feel very tired after work.
Become lazy
Since you are tired, you tend to be lazy again.
Sunday, November 29, 2009
I have created a new blog "Saving money in Singapore"
The blog url is http://savingmoneyinsingapore.blogspot.com/
Feel free to visit and comment.
Saturday, November 28, 2009
Why I invest in Cambridge industrial trust?
In my opinion, Cambridge Industrial Trust is a wonderful company. So far it has been giving good dividends ranging between 0.01 to 0.02 cents every quarter. Even during the recession period at year 2008, the dividends given are still very good. At the current price of about $0.40, its yield is about 10% per year.
From the company website, CIT invests in industrial properties such as logistics, storage and warehousing, manufacturing and showroom facilities all located across Singapore’s key industrial zones. With this strong fundamental and high occupancy rate, I believe that this company will continue to do well.
Click here to see my other choice of stocks/ETFs.
"Branded" Bread is Expensive
However if you look at the price, normally it will cost about $1.20 to even $2 plus per piece. It is very expensive in my opinion. For those normal neighbourhood bakeries, the bread only costs about $0.60 to $1.20 each. Now I am thinking, are people just go for the "brand" and design of the bread, or the taste and value of the bread?
Let's say bread from a "branded" bakery costs $1.50, and you can get the same type of bread from the normal neighbourhood bakery at the price of $1.00. Assume that one month you buy 30 pieces of bread, "branded" bread will cost you $45, and the normal bread will cost you $30 in total. You can see that you can have a saving of $15 per month or $180 per year if you just buy the normal bread.
So are you going to pay a premium for "branded" bread? As for myself, I will just buy it from the normal neighbourhood bakery as lowering my expenses is part of my cash flow framework.
Friday, November 27, 2009
My stock strategy from now till 2010 (Updated on 27 Nov 09)
5 lots of Singtel (CPF) ==> Confirmed dividends of $310 (Dec 09)
5 lots of SingTel (Cash) ==> Confirmed dividends of $310 (Dec 09)
15 lots of SingPost (Cash) ==>Confirmed dividends of $187.50 (Nov 09)
25 lots of Cambridge (Cash)
My strategies:
My stock strategies are as below:
If Singtel reaches $3.50, I will sell 5 lots of SingTel(CPF)
If Singtel reaches $4.00, I will sell 5 lots of SingTel(Cash)
If Singtel reaches $2.65, I will buy another 2 lots of Singtel using Cash.
If SingPost reaches $1.25, I will sell 5 lots.
If SingPost reaches $1.50, I will sell 5 lots.
If SingPost reaches $1.75, I will sell 5 lots.
If SingPost reaches $0.90, I will buy 5 lots.
If Cambridges reaches $0.70, I will sell 10 lots.
If Cambridges reaches $0.90, I will sell 15 lots.
If DBS reaches $12.50, I will buy 1 lot.
If none of the prices as above are reached, I will keep all stocks for dividends.
Please take note that I am applying my rule No. 1, which is I do not try to predict the future. So I have planned for both market directions. I am also applying my rule No.3 which is "It's far better for other to buy an overvalued stock from you, rather than you buy an overvalued stock from other".
Thursday, November 26, 2009
I have achieved one-third of my targeted passive income!!!
Recently, I have started another new income stream(will keep it a secret at the time being). Although it didn't generate me too much passive income right now, but at least it already breaks the zero dollar barrier. I will focus more on this new income stream so as to increase my passive income.
Bought 13 lots of Cambridge on 26 Nov 09
Wednesday, November 25, 2009
It is cheaper to buy your necessities in bulks
This is what had happened two days ago:
I was trying to find the cheapest price for 6 x 250ml packets Milo drink. So I went to various shops to find out the price and here are the findings.
In supermart N, it cost me $3.80 for 6 packets, or $0.63 per packet
In provision shop A, it costs me $3.50 for 6 packets, or $0.58 per packet
In provision shop B, it costs me $3.30 for 6 packets, or $0.55 per packet
In provision shop B, it costs me $12.50 for 24 packets, or $0.52 per packet
First thing I realise is, different shop can have very different price for the same product. What surprise me is the price in supermart N, which is very expensive as compared to other provision shop.
Second thing I realise is, I can get cheaper price if I buy thing in bulk.
My next plan is to list out all the things that can be bought in bulk so as to lower my expenses on the necessities. Lowering my expenses is part of my cash flow framework.
Tuesday, November 24, 2009
Monday, November 23, 2009
Personal Happiness Index
First, we must list out all the events that you will do for a month.
For example.
Working
Entertaining
Sleeping
Relaxing
Second, for each event, we have to state the value for the degree of happiness. The value is range between -1 to 1.
-1 means you are very unhappy when doing the event.
-0.5, you are unhappy when doing the event.
0 mean you are neutral when doing the event.
0.5 mean you are happy when doing the event.
1 mean you are very happy when doing the event.
For example:
Working (-0.2)
Entertaining (0.5)
Sleeping (0.3) (Value can be negative, if you always cannot sleep well due to some reasons)
Relaxing (0.5)
Third, we must know the total duration in minutes for each event done per month.
For example:
Working (14400min)
Entertaining (7200min)
Sleeping (14400min)
Relaxing (7200min)
Four, we will use the below formula to find out the happiness in each Event.
Happiness in each Event = Degree of Happiness X Time Duration
Working (-0.2) x (14400) = -2880
Entertaining (0.5) x (7200) = 3600
Sleeping (0.3) x(14400) = 4320
Relaxing (0.5) x (7200) = 3600
Lastly we will use the below formula to calculate the Personal Happiness Index.
Personal Happiness Index = sum of happiness in all event / 43200 min.
If the index is -1, mean you are very unhappy.
If the index is 0, mean you are neutral
If the index is 1, mean you are very happy
For example:
Happiness Index = (-2880 + 3600 + 4320 + 3600)/43200 = 0.2
0.2 means slightly happy.
Sunday, November 22, 2009
Signed up as a NTUC U Member
The reason why I signed up is because there is a wide range of member privileges and benefits which can help me save money.
The best benefit as a member in my opinion is the 4% rebates at NTUC FairPrice. Every year, I spend around $3600 on groceries. So 4% out of $3600 is $144. The rebate is already more than the membership fee. This is a no brainer reason why I signed up as member.
There are many other benefits and you may see it by clicking here.
GOLD VS SGD (20 Nov 09)
The closing price of GLD 10US$ has reached $112.360, and the USD/SGD is 1.3888 on 20 Nov 09. So if we multiple both the value together, we will get S$156.0456/GLD. In the beginning of 2009, I have calculate the value to be S$121.18/GLD. So GLD has actually increased by 28%.
But having say that, I am not a fan of gold is because it doesn't give me dividends. I treat it as a hedge for inflation. And one more thing, gold is not meant for shorting. Shorting gold has no meaning at all and you are exposed to high risk as you are dealing with both GLD price in USD and the exchange rate in term of USD/SGD in singapore.
Saturday, November 21, 2009
Reducing my expenses without affecting my quality of life
I will start in looking into my groceries list and see is there any thing that I can do to reduce the cost. I will
- Check whether is there any cheaper products that can perform equally well or even better than the current products that I always buy.
- Is there other places that offer better price for current products that I buy.
- Is there any unneccessary items that I will not need in my groceries list.
Another thing that I will look into is how I spend my money on food and drink. I always know that going out for meals in Singapore is always very expensive. For example, soft drink in coffeeshop will cost $1 plus. I found it ridiculous, as a can of coke from supermart is only $0.60. And also a plate of chicken rice in food court will simply cost $3.50, whereas some coffeeshop only sells it for $2.00.
I have no target in the amount of money to save, but if I can acheive to save $20 per month it is already very good. Saving $20 per month is like increasing your passive income by $20. In order to increase your passive income by $20, I need to invest $4800 which give me a return of 5% per year. So which is easiler, reduce your cost of living or increase your passive income?Choosing the best value chicken rice in my town
In my town, there are a lot of chicken rice store around. I have listed 4 chicken rice stores and their prices in the above diagram.
For coffee shop A, it is only 1 minute away from my house, but price of the chicken rice will cost 66.67% more as compared to the cheapest price in town.
For coffee shop B, it takes me 2 more extra minutes to walk as compared to the coffee shop A. The price of the chicken rice is 33.33% more as compared to the cheapest price in town.
For coffee shop C, its chicken rice price is the cheapest in town. But it will take me 5 minutes to walk and there are less meat in the chicken rice.
For Food court, it will make me to walk the most and cost me the most as compare to other coffee shop.
After the comparison, I declared that coffee shop B has the best value. Walking a bit more to save an extra $0.50 is definitely more worthwhile to me. Just to highlight a point here, cheaper doesn't mean better value.
My choice is inlined with My Cash Flow Framework , under Expenses(Reduce Liabilities).
Friday, November 20, 2009
Investing is boring
Investing should be as boring as possible so that you are not emotionally affected by the price changes everyday.
I found myself no longer look at the dow future and charts. Instead, I would spend some time searching for other quality, high dividends and value stocks to be invested next time.
I finally understand what Warren Buffett meant by "Only buy something that you'd be perfectly happy to hold if the market shut down for 10 years."
Wednesday, November 18, 2009
What is debt free status?
Debt free does not mean you do not have any debt. As long as your passive income is more than all your debts, then you have already obtained your debt free status. So try to cut down on unnecessary bad debt and build up your passive income. Sooner or latest, you will be able to achieve your debt free status.
I have already achieved my debt free status, and will slowly gear toward financial freedom.
Tuesday, November 17, 2009
My stock strategy from now till 2010
5 lots of Singtel (CPF) ==> Confirmed dividends of $310 (Dec 09)
4 lots of STI ETF (CPF) ==> No confirmation yet.
5 lots of SingTel (Cash) ==> Confirmed dividends of $310 (Dec 09)
15 lots of SingPost (Cash) ==>Confirmed dividends of $187.50 (Nov 09)
My stock strategies are as below:
If Singtel reaches $3.50, I will sell 5 lots of SingTel(Cash)
If Singtel reaches $4.00, I will sell 5 lots of SingTel(CPF)
If Singtel reaches $2.65, I will buy another 2 lots of Singtel using Cash.
If SingPost reaches $1.25, I will sell 5 lots.
If SingPost reaches $1.50, I will sell 5 lots.
If SingPost reaches $1.75, I will sell 5 lots.
If SingPost reaches $0.90, I will buy 5 lots.
If DBS reaches $12.50, I will buy 1 lot.
If none of the prices as above are reached, I will keep all stocks for dividends.
For ETF, I have no plan to buy in more or sell away in the near future.
Please take note that I am applying my rule No. 1, which is I do not try to predict the future. So I have planned for both market directions. I am also applying my rule No.3 which is "It's far better for other to buy an overvalued stock from you, than you buy an overvalued stock from other".
Monday, November 16, 2009
My Quotes/Rules of Investment
Rule no. 2: Don't forget the first rule.
Rule no. 3: It's far better for other to buy an overvalued stock from you, rather than you buy an overvalued stock from other.
Rule no. 4: Ignorance is not a good reason for losing money in the market, however having no discipline is.
Rule no. 5: For a wonderful company, be delighted when its stock price falls, be regretted when its stock price rises.
Rule no. 6: Slow and steady will definitely win the race.
Rule no. 7: You can never find it easy to catch a butterfly unless you have a big net.
Bought 3 lots of Singtel on 16 Nov 09
DBS is getting speculative. The yield is less than 4% based on the current price. That is why I quickly sold it away. I will consider buying it again if its yield is more than 4.5%. Singtel however is having a better yield. I estimated it as more than 4.5%. It is not as speculative as DBS, as you can see the price movement of DBS is very fast. Singtel price is slow and steady which is what I like as a defensive stock.
Saturday, November 14, 2009
Investor, Traders and Speculators Charts
There are basically three types of player in the stock markets. They are the investors, traders and speculators. Because of these different types of player, the pattern of the charts will keep on changing.
One very good example for speculation is the above crude oil chart. You can see
Friday, November 13, 2009
SingPost is a wonderful company to invest in
The below dividend diagram is what I get from the Singpost Website. You can see that from FY02/03 to FY08/09, the dividend has been increased. Even during the market crash period, the dividend payout is not reduced. If the total dividend for FY09/10 is 6.25 cents, then is yield is about 6.5% (based on the bought in price of 0.95 cents).
I will accumulate more SingPost shares if it happens to drop to 0.9 cents. If not, I will not be buying any more.
Thursday, November 12, 2009
Bought 2 lot of Singtel on 12 Nov 09
Let assume Singtel is giving 7.6cents(10% more than 6.9 cents) for Aug 10, then the total dividend for the year will be 6.2+7.6 = 13.8cents. So based on the price I bought today, the yield will be about 4.7% which is not a bad deal to me.
Wednesday, November 11, 2009
Sold 1 lot of DBS on 11 Nov 09
Explanation:
This year, DBS is giving 4 x $140 dividends per lot. If based on the current price (about $14) , it is about 4% yield. I feel that 4% yield is not very attractive to me even though it is a good stock with potential to go up. My profit is about 6.9% based on the price I bought. So instead of waiting for one year, I already get 6.9% gain immediately by selling today. I have freed this amount of money so that I can buy other value stocks.
If it happens that DBS shares drop to $12 per lot, I may consider buying again.
If it happens to remain at the current price or go up, I will not buy again unless the value goes up.
Please don't mistaken me as a trader. I am not a trader and I don't depend on chart any more. I am a simple investor who just go for value and price.
Tuesday, November 10, 2009
Buying stocks based on price and value
Sun Tzu said, "The general who wins the battle makes many calculations in his temple before the battle is fought. The general who loses makes but few calculations beforehand."
That is why I always based on price and value and do my own calculation before buying stock See below for the formula that help me to know when to buy stock.
Price is the current price of the stock.
Value can be capital increase or dividend given from the stock. It will be very hard to estimate the capital increase of the stock, but it is easy to identify which are the stocks that are giving regular dividends. I always look for stocks with good fundamentals that give regular dividend even during the recession time. These stocks normally go up and down at a slow rate which is what I like. To me it works like fixed deposit. Click here if you are interested in my choice of stocks/ETFs.
Target return is the minimum amount of return you want to see when you invest in a stock. For example, if you set it at 5%, then every year you will expect to get 5% return from your stock. I will only buy a particular stock when the result of the formula is greater than my target return.
Example 1:
If a stock is giving dividend of $0.05 per year and the current price is $2, then the return will be 2.5%. So if my target return is 5%, I will not buy this stock at the current price.
Example 2:
If a stock is giving dividend of $0.1 per year and the price is $1.00, then the return will be 10%. So if my target return is 5%, I will definitely buy this stock at the current price.
Monday, November 9, 2009
How long does it take me to reach a passive income of $3000?
Sunday, November 8, 2009
My Cash Flow Framework
Income:
I will concentrate on increase my monthly income and find other income sources.
Expenses:
I will identify what are the necessities and try to reduce my liabilities.
Saving:
I will split my saving into two portions. One portion will go into my investment, and the other portion save inside the bank.
Buying Asset:
I will identify what shares or ETFs to buy, and plan out a strategy on when to buy.
Passive Income:
I will use the dividends for reinvestment.
Some of my favorite quotes from Warren Buffett
2)If a business does well, the stock eventually follows.
3)Only buy something that you'd be perfectly happy to hold if the market shut down for 10 years.
4)Only when the tide goes out do you discover who's been swimming naked.
5)Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Never forget rule No.1.
6)We simply attempt to be fearful when others are greedy and to be greedy only when others are fearful.
7)You only have to do a very few things right in your life so long as you don't do too many things wrong.
8)Price is what you pay. Value is what you get.
Saturday, November 7, 2009
Things to avoid in stock markets.
1) Contra
Contra is a method of buying stock without having to pay for it. The catch is you have to sell your stock after certain number of days, normally is 3 days. If the stock price goes down during the 3 days, you will be force to sell and lose money instantly including commission.
2) Shorting
Shorting is a method where you sell a stock without owning it, and after some time you buy it back. The difference between the buy price and sell price is what you gain or lose.
Why avoid shorting?
- The maximum gain from shorting a stock can never be or exceed 100% of the share price. For example, you short a stock at $1, and you buy back at the price of $0.005, you will gain $0.995, or 99.5% gain.
- Using CFD is one of the proper way to short a stock. CFD stands for contract for difference. CFD will incur cost when you borrow shares to short, normally is about 5% or more PA on top of the commission. You also need to pay commission every month if you intend to keep the short for long. If trading is halt for the company, you will be stuck with your short and you still have to pay interest.
- If the shares are giving out dividends, instead of receiving the dividends, you have to pay out the exact amount of dividends.
3) Leveraging
Leveraging means "buying" of stocks by paying only a certain percentage of the total stock prices. Currently CFD is one of the facilities that provide leveraging. For example, your total stock cost is $10000, if the leveraging is 20%, than you need to pay only $2000. This is very risky. In case, your stock value fall by 50%, your loss will be $5000. In that case, you have to top up additional $3000 to pay for the losses. My advise as a investor is don't ever use leveraging, as it can cause you to become bankrupt if you are not careful. Just imagine, based on my example just now, what if you do not have the additional $3000 to pay for the losses? And also remember that using CFD will require you to pay interest and commission every month as you don't physically own the stock.
These three things are normally used by trader for short term gain. Unless you are one of the top best traders, if not you should avoid these things and invest normally. I always look at long term recurring gain rather than short term gain.
Friday, November 6, 2009
Thursday, November 5, 2009
Reinvest money from passive income
As you can see, my passive income has almost reached $850 per month, which means about $10K per year. I will be using this money to reinvest in stock/ETF. Assume I get 5% dividend from the $10K, which is calculated to be $500 or about $40 per month. In that sense, for every year my passive income will at least increase by $40 per month. As I am applying the power of exponential here, the increase in passive income per month will be higher for each year.
Let say my saving for one year is $20000(just a figure that I put in for demonstration), and I use it for investment. That will give me $80 per month.
So in total, my passive income will increase $40 + $80 = $120 per month every year.
I am waiting for STI to be 2500 or 2800 before I will invest again. So for now, I will relax myself and focus on other things. Having a peaceful and undisturbed mind and a winning strategy are keys to successful investment.
Wednesday, November 4, 2009
I am not going to subscribe the UOB China A-Share exchange-traded fund.
Although I am in favorable of China economy, I have decided not to put any money into this UOB China A-Share exchange-traded fund. Always invest into something you know. If you unsure, don't put any money in.
STI Chart looks bullish
Bought 10 lots of SingPost on 4 Nov 09
Tuesday, November 3, 2009
My strategy in investing stocks.
Using averaging strategy, I will buy at equal amount at each hundred level of the STI index. For example, when STI reaches 2700 I will buy some, STI reaches 2600 I will buy some, STI reaches 2800 I will buy some. I must maintain a discipline not to overbuy at each level. In my planning, the lowest level will be at 1000.
In that sense, I won't be worrying about uptrend or downtrend of the market. Dividends are what I am targeting, so a strategy that can restrict my loss to 50% is very important.
Monday, November 2, 2009
Bought 2 lots of Singtel on 2 Nov 09
Sunday, November 1, 2009
My Stock and ETF Choices
1) DBS
2) Singtel
3) SMRT
4) Singpost
5) STI ETF (this is ETF which track STI index)
6) Cambridge
If you are a Singaporean, which company from (1) to (4) you are unsure of? Even you ask a primary school kids, he or she can roughly tell you how these companies make their money. I will only buy company that I know and understand what they are doing.
They may not be the best performance stock but I consider them as very safe stocks/ETFs in my opinion. I choose them is because they give regular dividend and they give me a peace of mind after buying them for long term.
The reason why I include STI ETF is because only 35% of the investable OA CPF money can be use to invest in stock. I will use the rest of the investable OA CPF money to buy STI ETF. I don't buy Unit Trust as they seldom or never give out dividends, and also their management fee and sale charge are quite high in my opinion. STI ETF in the past has been giving good dividend in my opinion.